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Generating Bomber Routes for the Delivery of Gravity Weapons
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Generating Bomber Routes for the Delivery of Gravity Weapons

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ISBN-13:
9781288257270
Einband:
Paperback
Seiten:
106
Autor:
Gregory J. Ehlers
Format:
246x189x6 mm
Sprache:
Englisch
Beschreibung:

Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts (PQPF) based on the medium range forecast (MRF) ensemble are currently in operational use below their full potential quality (i.e., accuracy and reliability). This unfulfilled potential is due to the MRF ensemble being adversely affected by systematic errors which arise from an imperfect model and less than ideal ensemble initial perturbations. This thesis sought to construct a calibration to account for these systematic errors and thus produce higher quality PQPF. Systematic errors were explored with the use of the verification rank histogram, which tracks the performance of the ensemble. The information in these histograms was then used in interpreting MRF ensemble forecasts to produce calibrated PQPF.